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Ray Dalio gives 3 financial recommendations for millennials

By Jacob Wolinsky.
Founder, Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Bridgewater Associates Ray Dalio talks to Julia La Roche in 2018 of Yahoo Finance about the value of savings and investing.

These are Ray Dalio Gives 3 Financial Recommendations For Millennials.
Well I want to talk about my generation the millennials. We were really coming of age during the crisis. So how would you advise us to prepare. And what I mean is what would you tell our generation. We feel scarred from the crisis. First of all I think. One of the problems is that the experience that you had is the last experience is the one that's going to stick in your mind.

And probably will not be the one that's going to get you so that the next experience will be very very different. I know my my parents went through the Great Depression and then they missed out on the boom because they're always thinking about that. And so I think I think that what they need to do is see all of those crisis's. That's why you can see inflationary ones and see all of those and once you get that perspective I would say three things to your generation. OK. Three recommendations. The first recommendation. Is to is to think about your savings and how much money do you have for savings and the best way to think about that is to think how much money do I spend each month. And how much money do I have saved so that I can. How many months are my going to be OK without that and to savings. Right. And calculate it because savings in that is freedom and security. And think about what that is. So that's that's the first one. How much do I have for that.

The second thing is how do I save. Well what should I put my savings in. And when thinking about what you should put your savings in. Realize that the least risky investment that you think from volatility is the least risk investment. It which is cash is the worst investment over a period of time. And you could judge that by judging the rate of inflation in relationship to the after tax income you're going to earn. So if you have an inflation rate that's two or three percent and you're earning 1 percent and you have to pay taxes on that one percent or the 1 or 2 percent that you're going to get. You're going to get taxed essentially at two percent a year. And that's going to be a problem. So you have to move into assets that are other assets that are going to do better over a period of time. And when you do that the most important thing I can convey to you is to diversify well because I can guarantee you that one of those assets and you won't be able to pick the right one will be disastrous in your lifetime that you will lose half of that savings if you're in the wrong one and you won't know what the right one is. And so pick different countries pick different asset classes and I could probably take too long explaining how you might do that. But but. So that would be the second thing to learn from. First thing is think about how to save be cautious about debt when you're thinking about debt. Think about is that debt going to help my savings or is it going to produce an income.

Sometimes debt like buying a house or buying an apartment or buying an asset, it produces forced savings. Forced savings is a good thing. Or if you're taking on debt and you're thinking am I going to have that debt in an asset that asset debt or produce more income than the asset than the cost of your debt. If you're using debt for consumption that's not a good thing to do. OK you're giving up that that safety. So I want. So number one is think about how much you save and think about whether that should be how you borrow. Number two make sure that you think about the diversification of that not in cash. And number three. Do the opposite of what your instincts are. If you're going to play the game. It has to be the opposite of what your instincts in the crowd says because the market reflects the crowd. So you want to buy when no one wants to buy and you want to sell when no one wants to sell. Right. So and that's emotionally difficult and probably not going to play that game well because it takes a lot of resources to play with it. We spend hundreds of millions of dollars each year to try to play that game. Well and it's a tough game to play well. So I would caution you about the market timing game but I would say that if you're going to do it do it in the ways that are uncomfortable because they're opposite your instincts.

That's really good advice right. One more thing that really resonates with me in the book was if in the next downturn the implications could be the impact on pension obligations health care. Is my generation are going to be on the hook for that. Yeah. So we pay a lot of attention to debt. And we should. But pension obligations and healthcare obligations are just like debt.

01.03

9 Investing Tips Straight From Warren Buffett & Charlie Munger.

By Phil Town.

I’ve always wanted to interview Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett, but I’ve been too intimidated. I doubt that I could come up with one single question they haven’t been asked many times before. Then it occurred to me that the best interview I could do is to take their answers from writings, interviews and reports they’ve done in the past then frame the question. It’s so much easier and the answers are always awesome.

This article is a compilation of common investing questions answered using actual Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett quotes. So here you go, my ‘interview’ with Warren and Charlie.

1) Charlie, what is the most important personal quality you can have as an investor?
“Patience … followed by pretty aggressive conduct. It is given to human beings who work hard at it—who look and sift the world for a mispriced bet — that they can occasionally find one. And the wise ones bet heavily when the world offers them that opportunity. They bet big when they have the odds. And the rest of the time, they don’t. It’s just that simple.” – Charlie Munger.

2) What is your preferred business type that you want to invest in?
“We prefer those (businesses) that can write us a check at the end of the year.” – Charlie Munger.

3) Warren, with all the books that have been written about how to invest the way you do it, why would your style of investing keep working?
“There is no doubt that there are far more ‘investment professionals’ and way more IQ in the field, as it didn’t use to look that promising. Investment data are available more conveniently and faster today. But the behavior of investors will not be more intelligent than in the past, despite all this. How people react will not change – their psychological makeup stays constant. You need to divorce your mind from the crowd. The herd mentality causes all these IQ’s to become paralyzed. I don’t think investors are now acting more intelligently, despite the intelligence. Smart doesn’t always equal rational. To be a successful investor you must divorce yourself from the fears and greed of the people around you, although it is almost impossible.” – Warren Buffett.

4) Please give us the most critical thing you think about when deciding if you’re going to buy this business or not.
“When Charlie Munger and I buy stocks — which we think of as small portions of businesses — our analysis is very similar to that which we use in buying entire businesses. We first have to decide whether we can sensibly estimate an earnings range for five years out or more. If the answer is yes, we will buy the stock (or business) if it sells at a reasonable price in relation to the bottom boundary of our estimate. If, however, we lack the ability to estimate future earnings — which is usually the case — we simply move on to other prospects. In the 54 years we have worked together, we have never forgone an attractive purchase because of the macro or political environment, or the views of other people. In fact, these subjects never come up when we make decisions. It’s vital, however, that we recognize the perimeter of our “circle of competence” and stay well inside of it. Even then, we will make some mistakes, both with stocks and businesses. But they will not be the disasters that occur, for example, when a long-rising market induces purchases that are based on anticipated price behavior and a desire to be where the action is.” – Warren Buffett.

5) Why don’t you think most people can invest like you and Charlie do it? Why urge them to invest in indexes?
“If you buy a wonderful business at an attractive price you’re certain to make money. [But] most, of course, have not made the study of business prospects a priority in their lives. If wise, they will conclude that they do not know enough about specific businesses to predict their future earning power.” – Warren Buffett.

6) You’ve often said the best book ever written about investing is “The Intelligent Investor”. What are the key points of the book that you continue to focus on even today?
“Before reading Ben’s book, I had wandered around the investing landscape, devouring everything written on the subject. Much of what I read fascinated me: I tried my hand at charting and at using market indicia to predict stock movements. I sat in brokerage offices watching the tape roll by, and I listened to commentators. All of this was fun, but I couldn’t shake the feeling that I wasn’t getting anywhere. In contrast, Ben’s ideas were explained logically in elegant, easy-to-understand prose (without Greek letters or complicated formulas). For me, the key points were laid out in what later editions labeled Chapters 8 and 20. These points guide my investing decisions today.” – Warren Buffett.

7) Why just a few stocks? Why not 50?
“I can’t be involved in 50 or 75 things. That’s a Noah’s Ark way of investing – you end up with a zoo that way. I like to put meaningful amounts of money in a few things.” – Warren Buffett.

8) Charlie, can the average guy or gal out there with just average smarts invest like you do it and be as successful as you?
“You have to be aversive to the standard stupidities… you don’t have to be smart. We look for easy decisions, but we find it very hard to find “easy decisions”. Really, I’m just out there trying to be non-idiotic.”– Charlie Munger.

9) One last question. I know you don’t do Macro but just this once will you make us a prediction about the next ten years?
“Over the past 50 years we lived through the best time of human history. It is likely to get worse. I recommend you to prepare for worse because pleasant surprises are easy to handle.”– Charlie Munger.

06.28


Investing in a Crisis: 5 Tips From Charlie Munger.

How Charlie Munger approaches crisis investing.

The vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio)'s right-hand man, Charlie Munger (Trades, Portfolio), is a highly accomplished investor in his own right. Munger's investment activities might not attract as much attention as those of Buffett, but that does not mean that his strategy is any less successful.
Indeed, while Buffett is busy running Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B), Munger has adopted a more sedate approach. Doing nothing is a big part of his investment strategy.
Munger has been investing, in one way or another, for more than six decades, which means he has almost unrivaled experience as a long term investor. As such, his views on investing for the long term and riding out market volatility are highly valuable.

With that in mind, here are five tips from Munger on how to invest in uncertain times.

Investing in uncertain times.

"You must force yourself to consider opposing arguments. Especially when they challenge your best-loved ideas."

The world is always changing, shifting and developing. As a result, there's no guarantee a business (or investing) strategy that worked 10 years ago will work today. With this being the case, Munger believes that it is vital to continually re-evaluate and break down your investment ideas to see if they're still valid. Learning the other side of the argument is just part of this strategy.

"Rapid destruction of your ideas when the time is right is one of the most valuable qualities you can acquire. You must force yourself to consider arguments on the other side."

The world is changing rapidly. To stay on top of these changes, investors need to consider all arguments. We can't just stick our heads in the sand.

"Our experience tends to confirm a long-held notion that being prepared, on a few occasions in a lifetime, to act promptly in scale, in doing some simple and logical thing, will often dramatically improve the financial results of that lifetime."

Investors should always be prepared to act quickly and with conviction. However, this does not mean that you should ever rush into a situation. Just because something looks cheap does not necessarily mean that it is. There will always be opportunities for investors. Waiting for the right one is essential. Acting before you're ready can be costly and detrimental to wealth over the long-run.

"Life, in part, is like a poker game, wherein you have to learn to quit sometimes when holding a much-loved hand—you must learn to handle mistakes and new facts that change the odds."

Admitting when you're wrong and selling an investment is just as important as waiting for the right opportunity. It is never too late to exit a losing position. You can recover from a 90% loss, but not a loss of 100%.

Investors need to be able to quit, sell a holding and move on when the facts change. Ignoring the facts and hoping things work out for the best is a disastrous investment strategy.

"Sit on your a**. You're paying less to brokers, you're listening to less nonsense, and if it works, the tax system gives you an extra one, two, or three percentage points per annum."

Munger is a strong advocate of doing nothing. Since he closed up his investment partnership in the mid-1970s, the billionaire investor has only reportedly made a handful of trades. He believes it's better to ignore the rest of the market and trade as infrequently as possible.

Not only will investors benefit through lower commission charges using this approach, but their tax bills will also be lower.

06.18

Charlie Munger on Getting Rich, Wisdom, Focus, Fake Knowledge and More.

“In the chronicles of American financial history,” writes David Clark in The Tao of Charlie Munger: A Compilation of Quotes from Berkshire Hathaway’s Vice Chairman on Life, Business, and the Pursuit of Wealth, “Charlie Munger will be seen as the proverbial enigma wrapped in a paradox—he is both a mystery and a contradiction at the same time.”

On one hand, Munger received an elite education and it shows: He went to Cal Tech to train as a meteorologist for the Second World War and then attended Harvard Law School and eventually opened his own law firm. That part of his success makes sense.
Yet here’s a man who never took a single course in economics, business, marketing, finance, psychology, or accounting, and managed to become one of the greatest, most admired, and most honorable businessmen of our age. He was noted by essentially all observers for the originality of his thoughts, especially about business and human behavior. You don’t learn that in law school, at Harvard or anywhere else.
Bill Gates said of him: “He is truly the broadest thinker I have ever encountered.” His business partner Warren Buffett put it another way: “He comes equipped for rationality… I would say that to try and typecast Charlie in terms of any other human that I can think of, no one would fit. He’s got his own mold.”
How does such an extreme result happen? How is such an original and unduly capable mind formed? In the case of Munger, it’s clearly a combination of unusual genetics and an unusual approach to learning and life.
While we can’t have his genetics, we can try to steal his approach to rationality. There’s almost no limit to the amount one could learn from studying the Munger mind, so let’s at least start with a rundown of some of his best ideas.


Wisdom and Circles of Competence.
“Knowing what you don’t know is more useful than being brilliant.”
“Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom.”
Identify your circle of competence and use your knowledge, when possible, to stay away from things you don’t understand. There are no points for difficulty at work or in life.  Avoiding stupidity is easier than seeking brilliance.
Of course this principle relates to another of Munger’s sayings: “People are trying to be smart—all I am trying to do is not to be idiotic, but it’s harder than most people think.”
And this reminds me of perhaps my favorite Mungerism of all time, the very quote that sits right beside my desk:
“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.”

Divergence.
“Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean.”
Here’s a simple axiom to live by: If you do what everyone else does, you’re going to get the same results that everyone else gets. This means that, taking out luck (good or bad), if you act average, you’re going to be average. If you want to move away from average, you must diverge. You must be different. And if you want to outperform others, you must be different and correct. As Munger would say, “How could it be otherwise?”

Know When to Fold ’Em.
“Life, in part, is like a poker game, wherein you have to learn to quit sometimes when holding a much-loved hand—you must learn to handle mistakes and new facts that change the odds.”
Mistakes are an opportunity to grow. How we handle adversity is up to us. This is how we become personally antifragile.

False Models.
Echoing Einstein, who said that “Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts,” Munger said this about his and Buffett’s shift to acquiring high-quality businesses for Berkshire Hathaway:
“Once we’d gotten over the hurdle of recognizing that a thing could be a bargain based on quantitative measures that would have horrified Graham, we started thinking about better businesses.”

Being Lazy.
“Sit on your ass. You’re paying less to brokers, you’re listening to less nonsense, and if it works, the tax system gives you an extra one, two, or three percentage points per annum.”
Time is a friend to a good business and the enemy of the poor business. It’s also the friend of knowledge and the enemy of the new and novel. As Seneca said, “Time discovers truth.”

Investing Is a Perimutuel System.
“You’re looking for a mispriced gamble,” says Munger. “That’s what investing is. And you have to know enough to know whether the gamble is mispriced. That’s value investing.”  At another time, he added: “You should remember that good ideas are rare— when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet heavily.”
May the odds forever be in your favor. Actually, learning properly is one way you can tilt the odds in your favor.

Focus.
When asked about his success, Munger says, “I succeeded because I have a long attention span.”
Long attention spans allow for a deep understanding of subjects. When combined with deliberate practice, focus allows you to increase your skills and get out of your rut. The Art of Focus is a divergent and correct strategy that can help you identify where the leverage points are and apply your efforts toward them.

Fake Knowledge.
“Smart people aren’t exempt from professional disasters from overconfidence.”
We’re so used to outsourcing our thinking to others that we’ve forgotten what it’s like to really understand something from all perspectives. We’ve forgotten just how much work that takes. The path of least resistance, however, is just a click away. Fake knowledge, which comes from reading headlines and skimming the news, seems harmless, but it’s not. It makes us overconfident. It’s better to remember a simple trick: anything you’re getting easily through Google or Twitter is likely to be widely known and should not be given undue weight.
However, Munger adds, “If people weren’t wrong so often, we wouldn’t be so rich.”

Sit Quietly.
Echoing Pascal, who said some version of “All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone,” Munger adds an investing twist: “It’s waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can’t stand to wait.”
The ability to be alone with your thoughts and turn ideas over and over, without giving in to Do Something syndrome, affects so many of us. A perfectly reasonable option is to hold your ground and await more information.

Deal With Reality.
“I think that one should recognize reality even when one doesn’t like it; indeed, especially when one doesn’t like it.”
Munger clearly learned from Joseph Tussman’s wisdom. This means facing harsh truths that you might prefer to ignore. It means meeting the world on the world’s terms, not according to how you wish it would be. If this causes temporary pain, so be it. “Your pain,” writes Kahil Gibran in The Prophet, “is the breaking of the shell that encloses your understanding.”

There Is No Free Lunch.
We like quick solutions that don’t require a lot of effort. We’re drawn to the modern equivalent of an old hustler selling an all-curing tonic. However, the world does not work that way. Munger expands:
“There isn’t a single formula. You need to know a lot about business and human nature and the numbers… It is unreasonable to expect that there is a magic system that will do it for you.”
Acquiring knowledge is hard work. It’s reading and adding to your knowledge so it compounds. It’s going deep and developing fluency, something Darwin knew well.

Maximization/Minimization.
“In business we often find that the winning system goes almost ridiculously far in maximizing and or minimizing one or a few variables—like the discount warehouses of Costco.”
When everything is a priority, nothing is a priority. Attempting to maximize competing variables is a recipe for disaster. Picking one variable and relentlessly focusing on it, which is an effective strategy, diverges from the norm. It’s hard to compete with businesses that have correctly identified the right variables to maximize or minimize. When you focus on one variable, you’ll increase the odds that you’re quick and nimble — and can respond to changes in the terrain.

Map and Terrain.
“At Berkshire there has never been a master plan. Anyone who wanted to do it, we fired because it takes on a life of its own and doesn’t cover new reality. We want people taking into account new information.”
Plans are maps that we become attached to. Once we’ve told everyone there is a plan and what that plan is, especially multi-year plans, we’re psychologically more likely to stick to it because coming out and changing it would be admitting we were wrong. This makes it harder for us to change our strategies when we need to, so we’re stacking the odds against ourselves. Detailed five-year plans (that will clearly be wrong) are as disastrous as overly general five-year plans (which can never be wrong).
Scrap the plan, isolate the key variables that you need to maximize and minimize, and follow the agile path blazed by Henry Singleton and followed by Buffett and Munger.

The Keys to Good Government.
There are three keys: honesty, effectiveness, and efficiency. Munger says:
“In a democracy, everyone takes turns. But if you really want a lot of wisdom, it’s better to concentrate decisions and process in one person. It’s no accident that Singapore has a much better record, given where it started, than the United States. There, power was concentrated in an enormously talented person, Lee Kuan Yew, who was the Warren Buffett of Singapore.”
Lee Kuan Yew put it this way: “With few exceptions, democracy has not brought good government to new developing countries. … What Asians value may not necessarily be what Americans or Europeans value. Westerners value the freedoms and liberties of the individual. As an Asian of Chinese cultural background, my values are for a government which is honest, effective, and efficient.”

One Step At a Time.
“Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up. Discharge your duties faithfully and well. Slug it out one inch at a time, day by day. At the end of the day—if you live long enough—most people get what they deserve.”
An incremental approach to life reminds one of the nature of compounding. There will always be someone going faster than you, but you can learn from the Darwinian guide to overachieving your natural IQ. In order for this approach to be effective, you need a long axis of time as well as continuous incremental progress.

Getting Rich.
“The desire to get rich fast is pretty dangerous.”
Getting rich is a function of being happy with what you have, spending less than you make, and time.

Mental Models.
“Know the big ideas in the big disciplines and use them routinely—all of them, not just a few.”
Mental models are the big ideas from multiple disciplines. While most people agree that these are worth knowing, they often think they can identify which models will add the most value, and in so doing they miss something important. There is a reason that the “know-nothing” index fund almost always beats the investors who think they know. Understanding this idea in greater detail will change a lot of things, including how you read. Acquiring the big ideas — without selectivity — is the way to mimic a know-nothing index fund.

Know-it-alls.
“I try to get rid of people who always confidently answer questions about which they don’t have any real knowledge.”
Few things have made as much of a difference in my life as systemically removing (and when that’s not possible, reducing the importance of) people who think they know the answer to everything.

Stoic Resolve.
“There’s no way that you can live an adequate life without many mistakes. In fact, one trick in life is to get so you can handle mistakes. Failure to handle psychological denial is a common way for people to go broke.”
While we all make mistakes, it’s how we respond to failure that defines us.


Thinking.
“We all are learning, modifying, or destroying ideas all the time. Rapid destruction of your ideas when the time is right is one of the most valuable qualities you can acquire. You must force yourself to consider arguments on the other side.”
“It’s bad to have an opinion you’re proud of if you can’t state the arguments for the other side better than your opponents. This is a great mental discipline.”
Thinking is a lot of work. “My first thought,” William Deresiewicz said in one of my favorite speeches, “is never my best thought. My first thought is always someone else’s; it’s always what I’ve already heard about the subject, always the conventional wisdom.”

Choose Your Associates Wisely.
“Oh, it’s just so useful dealing with people you can trust and getting all the others the hell out of your life. It ought to be taught as a catechism. … [W]ise people want to avoid other people who are just total rat poison, and there are a lot of them.”

06.07

Charlie Munger's Advice for First Time Investors.

This year, Charlie Munger (Trades, Portfolio) is 96 years of age. Despite his years, the billionaire investor is just as sharp today as ever, and his experience in life in the world of investing is only increasing.

Unfortunately, Munger, who is Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio)'s right-hand man at Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B), does not give that many interviews. Still, those that he does give are full of invaluable advice on life, investing and philosophy.

In April of last year, Munger gave one of his most detailed interviews with Wall Street Journal reporters Nicole Friedman and Jason Zweig. He spoke to the Journal reporters for six hours over dinner, and an edited transcript of the conversation was later published in the newspaper.

Munger's ideas for first-time investors.

One of the questions the reporters asked the billionaire was his thoughts on advice to give first-time investors. Specifically, they asked, "If you were just starting out as an investor, what approach would you take?"

Munger started his answer by saying.

"Well, the original [Benjamin] Graham approach of looking for cases where you're getting more than you're paying for is correct. All good investing involves getting a better investment than you're paying for. And you're just looking for it in different places, just as a fisherman can fish in one place or another. But he's always looking for more value than [he's] paying for. That will never go out of style. I mean, that is just basic and fundamental."

However, he went on to add that it is not sensible to use the same approach when everyone else is doing the same. It is better to fish where the fish are:

"And knowing that, of course, one of the tricks is knowing where to fish. Li Lu [of Himalaya Capital Management LLC in Seattle] has made an absolute fortune as an investor using Graham's training to look for deeper values. But if he had done it any place other than China and Korea, his record wouldn't be as good. He fished where the fish were. There were a lot of wonderful, strong companies at very cheap prices over there.

Let me give you an example. One guy in Korea, he cornered the sauce market. And when I say cornered, he had like 95% of all the sauce in Korea. And he couldn't stand anybody else ever selling any sauce. So he could have made two or three times as much if he wanted to by raising the prices.

Li Lu figured that out. It's called Ottogi. And of course we've made 20 for 1. There was nothing like that in the United States."

No set template.

If you are looking for a simple solution to be a good investor, these comments do not provide much comfort.

However, in investing, there's no set template you can follow to be successful, and that's what Munger understands. The only way to beat the market is to do something different.

It takes time and effort to figure out where the fish are and what tools you require to catch them, but once you have established which pond you are going to fish in and your circle of competence, you have an edge.

So, that's Munger's advice for first-time investors. If you want to be a successful investor, you need to fish in the markets other investors have ignored, find cheap assets and work to your own strengths. It takes time to understand all of these qualities.

05.50


Charlie Munger’s Checklist for Investing.

By Nicholas Vardy.

I recently revisited one of my favorite figures in the world of investing: Charlie Munger.

Munger may be the vice chairman of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B), but he does not have the high profile of his lifelong investment partner.

Still, even Buffett is quick to admit that Munger is the far more compelling character. And once you read what Munger has to say, it’s hard to disagree with Buffett’s self-deprecating assessment.

Like Buffett, Munger has never penned a book. Instead, he has poured his wisdom into various speeches over the decades.

Luckily, die-hard Munger fans compiled his scattered works in one of the most remarkable investment books out there: Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger.

The Remarkable Mind of Munger.
Buffett has called Munger “the best 30-second mind in the world,” stating, “He goes from A to Z in one move. He sees the essence of everything before you even finish the sentence.”

What’s Munger’s secret?

He has spent his life studying the best ideas across a wide range of disciplines.

This deliberate practice helped Munger identify a set of “mental models.” Munger reckons that if you understand about 80 or 90 of these models, you’ll know enough to have the world figured out.

Munger’s advice is to be a “learning machine.” All investors need to learn and relearn basic principles. And that means they must read and think constantly.

Munger believes the “psychology of human misjudgment” is by far the most critical area in mental models.

Ironically, Munger disdains most of academic psychology. That’s because academics teach and research the wrong things.

We all recognize universal emotions, like fear and greed. The same is true for, say, envy.

But good luck finding an academic treatise on any of these topics. Munger says he has never even seen the word envy in the index of an introductory psychology textbook.

Munger’s Investment Checklist.
I suspect the 95-year-old Munger would like the world to remember him more as a thinker than as an investor.

Still, most of us are more curious about the investment philosophy that turned him into a billionaire.

Munger is a big fan of using checklists in decision making.

Pilots use checklists to improve their performance. Surgeon Atul Gawande wrote a book on the importance of lists in the operating room. Munger believes that all investors should use checklists too.

Like his mental models, Munger’s investing checklist is not original. Instead, he derives it from investment pioneer Benjamin Graham’s principles of value investing.

No. 1: Treat a share of stock as a proportional ownership of the business.

If you cannot understand the business of a company, you cannot understand its value. That’s why the underlying business is the only thing that matters when investing in a stock.

Munger spends no time on top-down factors. He ignores monetary policy, consumer confidence and market sentiment indicators.

According to Munger, you should always “be motivated when you’re buying and selling securities by reference to intrinsic value instead of price momentum.”

No. 2: Buy at a significant discount to intrinsic value to create a margin of safety.

The margin of safety reflects the difference between the intrinsic value and the current market price. This concept rises above all others in the mind of a value investor. The margin of safety will never become obsolete.

As Munger puts it, “No matter how wonderful a business is, it’s not worth an infinite price. We have to have a price that makes sense and gives a margin of safety considering the normal vicissitudes of life.”

That also explains why Munger would never invest in the latest, red-hot, expensive growth story.

No. 3: Make Mr. Market your servant rather than your master.

Developed by Graham, “Mr. Market” is a metaphor for market behavior. Graham treats the stock market like a manic-depressive who comes by your office every day. Some days, he’s willing to sell you his interest in a company for way less what than what you think it’s worth. Other days, he’s ready to buy your interest for much more than you think it’s worth.

Overall, Munger considers, “It is a blessing to be in a business with a manic-depressive who gives you this series of options all the time.”

No. 4: Be rational, objective and dispassionate.

Rationality is the essential quality of a successful investor. It is the best antidote to psychological and emotional errors. Much like the margin of safety, the idea of being objective and dispassionate will never be obsolete.

As Munger puts it, “Rationality is a binding principle. You must avoid the nonsense that is conventional in one’s own time. It requires developing systems of thought that improve your batting average over time.”

So what’s Munger’s overarching advice to investors?

Munger believes that it is “roughly right that the market is efficient.”

Still, the stock market is not totally efficient.

And it’s this difference between “totally efficient” and “somewhat efficient” that spells opportunity for disciplined investors.

As with many things, this approach sounds simple, but it’s not easy.

Good investing.
05.26

 

12 Investing Tips From Charlie Munger That You Need to Hear.

Priceless wisdom from Warren Buffett's right-hand man at Berkshire Hathaway.
By Joe Tenebruso.

Charlie Munger has helped Warren Buffett build Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) (NYSE:BRK.B) into a $540 billion masterpiece of American capitalism. As the company's vice chairman, he has amassed a billion-dollar fortune and created vast wealth for Berkshire's shareholders along the way.
Yet Munger's greatest contribution is arguably the incredible quantity of wisdom he's shared with investors over the past several decades. Here are a dozen pieces of this legendary investor's most valuable advice.

1. "Those who keep learning will keep rising in life."
Reading voraciously will make you a better investor and help you improve in many other areas of your life. Follow your interests, but read broadly and deeply.

2. "Knowing what you don't know is more useful than being brilliant."
Staying within your circle of competence helps to reduce risk. It's good to continuously expand your base of knowledge and understanding, but venturing too far outside it when selecting investments is a recipe for disaster.

3. "One of the greatest ways to avoid trouble is to keep it simple."
There are no extra points for difficulty when it comes to investing. And often, the best businesses are the ones that are easiest to understand.

4. "People calculate too much and think too little."
Financial figures are important, but they don't tell the whole story. Taking the time to understand the qualitative aspects of a business -- a company's culture, management's vision for the future, etc. -- can give you an edge over investors who focus only on the quantitative data.

5. "We have three baskets for investing: yes, no, and too tough to understand."
You don't need to make a buy or sell decision on every stock. Focus only on the businesses you understand well, and leave the rest for other investors.

6. "A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price."
Buying an undervalued stock can result in profits when you sell, but buying a business with powerful and sustainable competitive advantages, and then holding onto it for many years, can help you build incredible long-term wealth.

7. "Success means being very patient, but aggressive when it's time."
You don't need a lot of great investment ideas to build wealth in the market. But to grow rich, you'll need to invest significant sums in your best ideas.

8. "The big money is not in the buying and the selling, but in the waiting."
Well-chosen stocks can rise many times in value. But it takes time. The ability to sit and wait for these gains to materialize is crucial to generating truly life-changing returns in the stock market.

9. "You must force yourself to consider opposing arguments. Especially when they challenge your best-loved ideas."
Don't succumb to confirmation basis. Instead, constantly search for new information that might disprove your investment theses. If you come to realize that your expectations were wrong, adjust your portfolio accordingly -- and without delay.

10. "Don't drift into self-pity because it doesn't solve any problems. Generally speaking, envy, resentment, revenge, and self-pity are disastrous modes of thought."
Life can hit you. And when it does, it often hits hard. But rather than wallow in our struggles -- whether financially related or otherwise -- we need to pick ourselves back up and find a way to move forward.

11. "Invert, always invert."
It can often be useful to look at a problem in reverse. What do you want to avoid? Act in a manner that reduces your chances of failure, and you'll find your path to success.

12. "Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up. Discharge your duties faithfully and well. Step by step you get ahead, but not necessarily in fast spurts. But you build discipline by preparing for fast spurts ... slug it out one inch at a time, day by day. At the end of the day -- if you live long enough -- most people get what they deserve."
This passage needs no explanation, so to quote Munger one final time, "I have nothing further to add."

05.12